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Wolf's Big Board:     Monday, May 29, 2017     Tier One - The Big Three   1 ) David Johnson (ARI) RB1   2 ) Le'Veon Bell (PIT) RB2   3 ) Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) RB3   Tier Two - High-end WR1 and RB1s   4 ) Antonio Brown (PIT) WR1   5 ) Julio Jones (ATL) WR2   6 ) Mike Evans (TB) WR3   7 ) Odell Beckham JR. (NYG) WR4   8 ) DeMarco Murray (TEN) RB4   9 ) Melvin Gordon (LAC) RB5   10 ) LeSean McCoy (BUF) RB6   11 ) Jay Ajayi (MIA) RB7   12 ) AJ Green (CIN) WR5   13 ) Jordy Nelson (GB) WR6   14 ) Michael Thomas (NO) WR7   15 ) Dez Bryant (DAL) WR8   16 ) Devonta Freeman (ATL) RB8   Tier 3 - Lower-end RB1 and WR1s, elite second options   17 ) Lamar Miller (HOU) RB9   18 ) DeAndre Hopkins (HOU) WR9   19 ) TY Hilton (IND) WR10   20 ) Leonard Fournette (JAX) RB10   21 ) Rob Gronkowski (NE) TE1   22 ) Brandin Cooks (NE) WR11   23 ) Demaryius Thomas. (DEN) WR12   24 ) Jordan Reed (WAS) TE2   25 ) Doug Baldwin (SEA) WR13   26 ) Amari Cooper (OAK) WR14   Tier 3.5   27 ) Todd Gurley (LAR) RB11   28 ) Carlos Hyde (SF) RB12   29 ) Christian McCaffrey (CAR) RB13   30 ) Jordan Howard (CHI) RB14   31 ) Marshawn Lynch (OAK) RB15   32 ) Davante Adams (GB) WR15   33 ) Alshon Jeffery (PHI) WR16   34 ) Isaiah Crowell (CLE) RB16   35 ) Tyreek Hill (KC) WR17   36 ) Keenan Allen (LAC) WR18   37 ) Spencer Ware (KC) RB17   Tier 4 - Elite QBs, Solid #2 RBs + WRs, side TE1s   38 ) Bilal Powell (NYJ) RB18   39 ) Tom Brady (NE) QB1   40 ) Sammy Watkins WR19   41 ) Aaron Rodgers (GB) QB2   42 ) Travis Kielce (KC) TE3   43 ) Terrelle Pryor (WAS) WR20   44 ) Allen Robinson (JAC) WR21   44 ) Mike Gillislee (NE) RB19   45 ) Mark Ingram (NO) RB20   46 ) Golden Tate (DET) WR22   47 ) Jamison Crowder (WAS) WR23   48 ) Greg Olsen (CAR) TE4   48 ) Tevin Coleman (ATL) RB21   49 ) Willie Snead (NO) WR24   50 ) Doug Martin (TB) RB22   51 ) Michael Crabtree (OAK) WR25   52 ) Brandon Marshal (NYG) WR26   53 ) Julian Edelman (NE) WR27   54 ) Donte Moncrief (IND) WR28   55 ) Drew Brees (NO) QB3   56 ) Ameer Abdullah (DET) RB23   57 ) Jimmy Graham (SEA) TE5   58 ) Tyler Eifert (CIN) TE6   59 ) Martavis Bryant (PIT) WR29   Tier 5 - Last Startable WRs and RBs + TE1 Candidates   60 ) Pierre Garcon (SF) WR30   61 ) Eric Decker (NYJ) WR31   62 ) Jarvis Landry (MIA) WR32   63 ) Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) WR33   64 ) Samaje Perine (WAS) RB24   65 ) Joe Mixon (CIN) RB25   66 ) CJ Anderson (DEN) RB26   67 ) Matt Ryan (ATL) QB4   68 ) Stefon Diggs (MIN) WR33   69 ) Emmanuel Sanders (DEN) WR34   70 ) Ty Montgomery (GB) RB27   71 ) Hunter Henry (LAC) TE7   72 ) Corey Davis (TEN) WR35   73 ) Adrian Peterson (NO) RB28   74 ) Kelvin Benjamin (CAR) WR36   75 ) Delanie Walker TE8   76 ) Paul Perkins (NYG) RB29   77 ) CJ Prosise (SEA) RB30   78 ) Eddie Lacy (SEA) RB31   79 ) Dalvin Cook (MIN) RB32   80 ) Theo Riddick (DET) RB33   81 ) Frank Gore (IND) RB34   82 ) Cameron Meredith (CHI) WR38   83 ) Mike Wallace (BAL) WR39   84 ) DeSean Jackson (TB) WR40   85 ) Martellus Bennett (GB) TE9   TIer 7 - side QB1s and Top WR and RB Lottery Tickets   86 ) Andrew Luck (IND) QB5   87 ) Derek Carr (OAK) QB6   88 ) Kirk Cousins (WAS) QB7   89 ) Marcus Mariota (TEN) QB8   90 ) Philip Rivers (LAC) QB9   91 ) Ben Roethlisberger QB10   92 ) Dak Prescott (DAL) QB11   93 ) Jameis Winston (TB) QB12   94 ) Joe Williams (SF) RB35   95 ) Derrick Henry (TEN) RB36   96 ) Kareem Hunt (KC) RB37   97 ) Jamaal Williams (GB) RB38   98 ) Davante Parker (MIA) WR41   99 ) Josh Doctson (WAS) WR42   100 ) Ted Ginn (NO) WR43  
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How to Recover From Your 0-2 Start

The team you drafted just isn’t getting it done, and it’s time to start thinking outside the box, folks.

Not to worry!  This is where you dig deep and find the difference-makers that can make you a champion.  The Wolf wrote a great waiver wire piece earlier this week that highlighted many excellent players that are available to pick-up.

On a personal note, I am in a tough position myself this week against the mighty “Diggs out for Harambe” in the Roto Street Journal League and I have to make some ballsy changes if I want a serious chance at winning (or avoiding a night at a Connecticut Sun game with a serial killer).

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For this week’s sit/start, I’ll share some insight on my sit/start strategy when I am in desperate need of a win:

1. Look at total points scored or weekly average to determine starters. NOT projections

This strategy doesn’t change no matter what shape my team is in. Yahoo and ESPN both default to weekly projections to aid owners in setting their lineups. I’ll write a separate article at some point on how projections are simply not reliable. To use the stock market analogy, betting the average is the bearish method that I choose to abide by when playing fantasy football. That’s why I elect to start players who average the most points per week.  I believe that by following this strategy, your floor is the highest that is can possibly be. If you gamble on the upside of another guy who has the potential to absolutely blow it out, but hasn’t really shown us that ability yet this season, you are risking that he will continue to put up mediocre numbers and leave your squad behind the eight ball.

It’s like putting your money into a pharma company that is producing a drug that cures cancer, but hasn’t received an FDA approval yet. Big upside, big risk. It depends on what your risk tolerance is, but I tend to err on the side of caution when it comes to players that are unproven. The one exception to this rule would be a running back who is replacing an injured stud who has produced consistently.

2. Rid Yourself of the Dead Weight

If you drafted a first or second-rounder who is struggling out of the gates, sit him. Find somebody on the wire who can fill the gap. The Wolf has named plenty of serviceable receivers who were available in many leagues this week. I like Quincy Enunwa and Eddie Royal off the wire this week to START. In full point PPR, both of these guys are averaging about 15 points a week — solid production.

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3. Get Weird

Start some guys that you feel a little uncomfortable starting. I know it will feel wrong to start a guy like Enunwa and sit someone such as Tyler Lockett, but you should do it. Gary Barnidge owners should sit him and start a Jacob Tamme or Dennis Pitta. Once you make an uncomfortable decision and see the benefit, you’ll be dumping the guys you drafted for more hidden gems on the waiver wire.

I also like the idea of picking up a guy like Matt Asiata if you are in a pinch.  When Adrian Peterson was out in 2014, Asiata had several big weeks — spotty, but if you’re lucky you could catch him on a 3 TD monster performance week. If he can do that again it could spark a fire in your team and allow you to claw your way back to playoff contention, and who knows, maybe even a championship.

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Don’t you worry. It’s a long season and there’s no need to wave the white flag after an 0-2 start.

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