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DraftKings Strategy: NFL Divisional Playoffs

I should’ve seen it coming. Odell Beckham Jr. and the Giants receiving core partying in Miami, the week leading up to a pivotal playoff game.  From the perspective of a die hard Giants fan — whose last two playoff runs were Super Bowl wins that ran through Lambeau field — this initially seemed like OBJ being OBJ just trying to shake off some pressure before a big game. While that may have been the case initially, my boy Eli Manning summed up the aftermath the best by saying: “You do things, you’ve got to back it up.” While I think my girlfriend’s 1 year old Turkish niece could have articulated it better, Manning was completely right. It takes a lot for someone like easy Eli to call someone out, so you know that this ill-advised move by the Giants “polarizing” play-makers pissed off a TON of people. For any of you who read my last column, urging members of the DFS community to consider Eli Manning (who played pretty well by the way), Paul Perkins and Odell Beckham (not so much) – father forgive me, for I have sinned.

One of the beautiful things about DFS is the ability to redeem yourself with another shot after a forgettable effort in the week prior. Despite my Giants picks, I still managed to bring to you the likes of eliminated pawns such as Kenny Stills, Jarvis Landry, Zach Zenner, and DUH Le’Veon Bell . Let’s call it a Wild Card wash, shall we?

The Divisional Round of the 2016-2017 playoffs leaves us with 4 intriguing match ups that should be much significantly more entertaining and far less heartbreaking than the massacres we witnessed throughout Wild Card weekend which separated opponents by 13+ points in each game. You can expect a lot of action in DraftKings with offensive juggernauts such as Rodgers, Brady, AB, and Zeke still in play this weekend. Let’s not forget about the pride of Idaho, Brock Osweiler, whose American Football performances are as night and day as his twin brother Edward from Twilight.

As the second round of playoff action approaches, I’m going completely against my morals by stacking my chips on the Cowboys in front 100,000 Blake Sheltons at AT&T Stadium. With this weekend counting as the last significant Daily Fantasy Football weekend of the year, the pressure is on to Cowboy the fuck up and win some cash! YEEHAW!

Quarterback

Dak Prescott

DraftKings Salary: $6,000 Projected Points: 24 Projected Ownership: 18%

Prescott is an absolute bargain at home versus a shitty Packers secondary that seems to lose its defensive mojo as a whole on the road. The Rookie is averaging 23.4 DK points per game in Jerry’s house this season, which illustrates his ability to thrive in front of a home crowd. Did I mention that the Mississippi State product has the 2nd highest projected pts/salary ratio on FantasyLabs this week? Out of all the Cowboys I’m starting this week, Dak may be the safest pick.

Honorable Mention: Matt Ryan

Totally Fucked: Brock Osweiler

Running Backs

Ezekiel Elliott

DraftKings Salary: $8,500 Projected Points: 23 Projected Ownership: 45%

It pains me to say this, but Ezekiel Elliott will be the NFC’s unanimous selection for Rookie of the Year in 2016. This chipmunk-faced ball handler has single-handedly made everyone forget about DeMarco Murray and that other hobgoblin Darren McFadden in a matter of one year. I don’t see the Packers above average defensive line limiting Zeke from getting his when his team needs him the most.

Devonta Freeman 

DraftKings Salary: $5,900 Projected Points: 25 Projected Ownership: 23%

I expect Devonta to get overlooked a lot this week for two reasons: 1. the other talented RBs on this weekend’s slate 2. Seattle’s “ferocious” defense coming to town. What a lot of people forget is that Seattle’s D has really only been marginal outside of the 12’s stomping grounds this season. Need more convincing? Take note of Devonta’s DK points at the Georgia Dome over the last 5 Falcon home games: 28.70, 37.50, 26.50, 21.70 & 21.80. Three of these opponents possess above average run defenses in the Packers, Cardinals and Chiefs. Best believe Papa Krall gon’ get some!

Honorable Mention: LeGarrette Blount

Totally Fucked: Ty Montgomery

Wide Receivers

Julian Edelman

DraftKings Salary: $6,800 Projected Points: 31 Projected Ownership: 27%

If Tom Brady secretly had a male lover, I’m pretty sure his name would be Julian Edelman. The amount of butt-buddy synchronicity between these two makes Matt Damon and Ben Affleck question their relationship. I’ve picked against the Patriots far too many times to know better, and I really don’t care that they’re going against a “#1 ranked Houston defense.” Even Houston knows they’re going to get shredded, and I think the TB12 – minitron connection will be a large part of that outcome with Gronk no longer in the picture.

Dez Bryant

DraftKings Salary: $6,600 Projected Points: 21 Projected Ownership: 22%

I really fucking hate this guy. Nonetheless, Dez is a serious deep ball threat (and I mean that in every sense of the word), and there is no one in that secondary man enough to step to him. Here lies a match up between two offensive heavyweights that Vegas has scoring a total of 52.5 combined points. With that being said, I would be very surprised if Dez doesn’t steal some pom-poms or do the nae-nae in the end zone at least once during this game.

Terrance Williams

DraftKings Salary: $3,100 Projected Points: 13 Projected Ownership: 5%

I hate to sound like a broken record but the Packers legit have NO ONE you’ve ever heard of that can cover. $3,100 for a 2nd receiver in a high scoring game while lined up against an unheralded rookie? Me likey.

Honorable Mention: Davante Adams

Totally Fucked: DeAndre Hopkins

Tight End

Travis Kelce

DraftKings Salary: $6,100 Projected Points: 20 Projected Ownership: 20%

Kelce has been the most dominant tight end in the NFL while causing match up night terrors for opposing defensive coordinators. To complement this fact, the guy has scored greater than 20 DK points in 38% of his games this year. As a tournament play, you have to like those odds. Safe to say I’ll be catching Kelce in 60-70% of my lineups this weekend.

Honorable Mention: Jared Cook

Totally Fucked: Austin Hooper/Levine Toilolo (LOL) 

FLEX

Jason Witten

DraftKings Salary: $3,600 Projected Points: 12 Projected Ownership: 10%

*DJ Khaled voice* anotha’ one. 

I also really like Jared Cook in this game, but Witten is known for showing up in big games and I think he can be counted on for his usual 6 receptions for 66 yards in this contest as one of Dak’s most reliable targets.

Honorable Mention: Le’Veon Bell

Totally Fucked: Jeremy Maclin

D/ST

Kansas City Chiefs

DraftKings Salary: $3,400 Projected Points: 10 Projected Ownership: 11%

The Steelers offense seems to play more like the Browns when outside of “jagoff” country. I think KC takes care of business, frustrating Big Ben and co. at one of the loudest stadiums in the league this Sunday. Gotta love the value that Tyreek Hill adds via the return game on special teams as well.

Honorable Mention: New England Patriots

Totally Fucked: Green Bay Packers 

 

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