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Wolf's Big Board:     Tuesday, May 30, 2017     Tier One - The Big Three   1 ) David Johnson (ARI) RB1   2 ) Le'Veon Bell (PIT) RB2   3 ) Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) RB3   Tier Two - High-end WR1 and RB1s   4 ) Antonio Brown (PIT) WR1   5 ) Julio Jones (ATL) WR2   6 ) Mike Evans (TB) WR3   7 ) Odell Beckham JR. (NYG) WR4   8 ) DeMarco Murray (TEN) RB4   9 ) Melvin Gordon (LAC) RB5   10 ) LeSean McCoy (BUF) RB6   11 ) Jay Ajayi (MIA) RB7   12 ) AJ Green (CIN) WR5   13 ) Jordy Nelson (GB) WR6   14 ) Michael Thomas (NO) WR7   15 ) Dez Bryant (DAL) WR8   16 ) Devonta Freeman (ATL) RB8   Tier 3 - Lower-end RB1 and WR1s, elite second options   17 ) Lamar Miller (HOU) RB9   18 ) DeAndre Hopkins (HOU) WR9   19 ) TY Hilton (IND) WR10   20 ) Leonard Fournette (JAX) RB10   21 ) Rob Gronkowski (NE) TE1   22 ) Brandin Cooks (NE) WR11   23 ) Demaryius Thomas. (DEN) WR12   24 ) Jordan Reed (WAS) TE2   25 ) Doug Baldwin (SEA) WR13   26 ) Amari Cooper (OAK) WR14   Tier 3.5   27 ) Todd Gurley (LAR) RB11   28 ) Carlos Hyde (SF) RB12   29 ) Christian McCaffrey (CAR) RB13   30 ) Jordan Howard (CHI) RB14   31 ) Marshawn Lynch (OAK) RB15   32 ) Davante Adams (GB) WR15   33 ) Alshon Jeffery (PHI) WR16   34 ) Isaiah Crowell (CLE) RB16   35 ) Tyreek Hill (KC) WR17   36 ) Keenan Allen (LAC) WR18   37 ) Spencer Ware (KC) RB17   Tier 4 - Elite QBs, Solid #2 RBs + WRs, side TE1s   38 ) Bilal Powell (NYJ) RB18   39 ) Tom Brady (NE) QB1   40 ) Sammy Watkins WR19   41 ) Aaron Rodgers (GB) QB2   42 ) Travis Kielce (KC) TE3   43 ) Terrelle Pryor (WAS) WR20   44 ) Allen Robinson (JAC) WR21   44 ) Mike Gillislee (NE) RB19   45 ) Mark Ingram (NO) RB20   46 ) Golden Tate (DET) WR22   47 ) Jamison Crowder (WAS) WR23   48 ) Greg Olsen (CAR) TE4   48 ) Tevin Coleman (ATL) RB21   49 ) Willie Snead (NO) WR24   50 ) Doug Martin (TB) RB22   51 ) Michael Crabtree (OAK) WR25   52 ) Brandon Marshal (NYG) WR26   53 ) Julian Edelman (NE) WR27   54 ) Donte Moncrief (IND) WR28   55 ) Drew Brees (NO) QB3   56 ) Ameer Abdullah (DET) RB23   57 ) Jimmy Graham (SEA) TE5   58 ) Tyler Eifert (CIN) TE6   59 ) Martavis Bryant (PIT) WR29   Tier 5 - Last Startable WRs and RBs + TE1 Candidates   60 ) Pierre Garcon (SF) WR30   61 ) Eric Decker (NYJ) WR31   62 ) Jarvis Landry (MIA) WR32   63 ) Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) WR33   64 ) Samaje Perine (WAS) RB24   65 ) Joe Mixon (CIN) RB25   66 ) CJ Anderson (DEN) RB26   67 ) Matt Ryan (ATL) QB4   68 ) Stefon Diggs (MIN) WR33   69 ) Emmanuel Sanders (DEN) WR34   70 ) Ty Montgomery (GB) RB27   71 ) Hunter Henry (LAC) TE7   72 ) Corey Davis (TEN) WR35   73 ) Adrian Peterson (NO) RB28   74 ) Kelvin Benjamin (CAR) WR36   75 ) Delanie Walker TE8   76 ) Paul Perkins (NYG) RB29   77 ) CJ Prosise (SEA) RB30   78 ) Eddie Lacy (SEA) RB31   79 ) Dalvin Cook (MIN) RB32   80 ) Theo Riddick (DET) RB33   81 ) Frank Gore (IND) RB34   82 ) Cameron Meredith (CHI) WR38   83 ) Mike Wallace (BAL) WR39   84 ) DeSean Jackson (TB) WR40   85 ) Martellus Bennett (GB) TE9   TIer 7 - side QB1s and Top WR and RB Lottery Tickets   86 ) Andrew Luck (IND) QB5   87 ) Derek Carr (OAK) QB6   88 ) Kirk Cousins (WAS) QB7   89 ) Marcus Mariota (TEN) QB8   90 ) Philip Rivers (LAC) QB9   91 ) Ben Roethlisberger QB10   92 ) Dak Prescott (DAL) QB11   93 ) Jameis Winston (TB) QB12   94 ) Joe Williams (SF) RB35   95 ) Derrick Henry (TEN) RB36   96 ) Kareem Hunt (KC) RB37   97 ) Jamaal Williams (GB) RB38   98 ) Davante Parker (MIA) WR41   99 ) Josh Doctson (WAS) WR42   100 ) Ted Ginn (NO) WR43  
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2017 Super Bowl Picks and Predictions: New England Patriots vs. Atlanta Falcons

You may or may not have heard, but there’s a pretttty important game coming up this Sunday. Y’know, that football stuff those Americans are so obsessed with. Anyway, I’ve pretty much been the best in the game as far as my picks this year (6-4 playoffs and 25-14-1 overall [62.5%], not actually that great but shhhhh), so you should have no problem putting your complete and absolute faith in me to steer you in the right direction.

Experts have estimated up to $4.7 BILLION in wagers will be placed this Super Sunday, and up to 97% illegally. Why not add a few more bucks in there?

Super Bowl LI: New England Patriots (-3) @ Atlanta Falcons

If you’ve followed my picks at all this season, you know I haven’t gone against the Patriots yet. And aside from one push at -7, they covered for me every. single. time. This included a historically big spread against Houston in the Divisional Round and a trouncing of Pittsburgh in the AFC Championship. So if you think now, in the biggest game of the year, in Tom Brady’s quest for ‘one for the thumb’, I’m changing course? For sure not. The Patriots are definitely the most talented team in this game, and the reason doesn’t have as much to do with #12 as you may think. Yes, Brady and New England’s offense are a well-oiled machine that could easily drop 45 on Atlanta’s incompetent D, but the Falcons bring in a group on offense that’s just as impressive. The Patriots may have been able to win in past years with a powerful offense and a defense that was just good enough, but that’s certainly not the case against the likely MVP and his platoon of weapons.

If the Patriots are to walk away with this game, they’ll do it because they got consistent pressure on Matt Ryan, clogged up the holes in the middle to slow down Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman, and the secondary contained Julio Jones and the rest of Atlanta’s downfield weapons; certainly not an easy slate of tasks, especially on the biggest stage on the planet. Personally, I think Matt Patricia will line up Malcolm Butler on Jones with safety help over the top, and leave Eric Rowe to more or less take Mohamed Sanu 1-on-1, but the gameplan will obviously be a fluid one that’s subject to change as the game progresses and trends are established. Nevertheless, New England has the personnel to shut Atlanta down; the only thing left is to execute.

Now having said that, although Atlanta’s defense on paper is about as impressive as Blake Bortles‘ touchdown-interception ratio, this is the Super Bowl we’re talking about here; those guys are gonna come ready to play. Falcons DC Richard Smith is a linebacker specialist, having coached linebackers in Denver, Carolina, and more before taking the Atlanta job 2 years ago, and his expertise has helped Vic Beasley make the leap to a top-tier LB in his 2nd pro season. Beasley and his league-leading 15.5 regular season sacks will certainly object to Brady and his boys carving up his defense, and the Patriots should expect a whole lot of blitz packages to get pressure on Brady – and if that pressure never comes, this one could get out of hand quickly.

Look, if you’ve read to this point you know where I’m headed: Pats win and cover. Could Atlanta very well win this game? Of course. If they play as well as their ceiling is, and New England comes out flat for even a possession or two, this one could go the other direction faster than Johnny Manziel running from a piss test. But that’s the beauty of a Brady-led, Belichick-coached team: coming out flat is an offense punishable by death. They’ll be ready, and in the end I think Roger Goodell will be center stage, brown paper bag over his face, handing another Lombardi trophy to the best franchise in the history of American professional sports. Yup, I said it. Don’t @ me.

Score prediction: Patriots 34, Falcons 23

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  1. Pingback: Super Bowl 51: Prop Bets Recap

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