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2017 Fantasy Football ADP: Training Camp Risers and Fallers

At long last the NFL Preseason is here! We have LIVE football to watch, and a ton of players to keep our eyes on. It’s the time of year where player’s Fantasy Football values start to really look like the stock boards on Wall Street. Some guys are getting injured and we watch their values plummet. Some are having spectacular training camp performances and their hype trains are leaving the station full stream ahead. With so much to be looked at heading into your fantasy football drafts and the regular season, I wanted to briefly discuss a few players with rising and falling stock values that are worth consideration for your roster.

Rising Stocks: BUY NOW!

Duke Johnson has never been an extremely high Fantasy Football draft target, and for good reason. He is on a Cleveland Browns team that has struggled in the recent past just to win games. We all know how 2016 went for the Browns (they won 1 game if you if you didn’t know). On top of that, he isn’t even the starting running back. So to say it hasn’t been an easy place for Johnson to thrive would be an understatement. They don’t have a reliable quarterback situation, the offensive line last season was horrendous, and Isaiah Crowell is a very talented running back to contend for a starting job with.

Duke has made his mark in the passing game, which has kept him revenant to this point. This is part of the reason why his stock is on the way up and continuing to climb. In the offseason, the Browns have upgraded the O-line (a big plus), but more significant for Crowell’s Fantasy Football outlook. Still, the improvement up front doesn’t hurt Duke’s either. The main reason I see his stock rising are the reports we are hearing out of camp about Johnson getting more involved in passing game out of the slot. I have seen some of the catches he has been making myself, and he looks the part of an effective slot guy. He is still going in the mid 9th round of drafts, so I say grab him for the upside while his stock is still on the way up; before he is too expensive. You could end up striking gold if he continues to impress on into the season.

I have been feeding coal into the fires of the Dalvin Cook hype train before he even declared for the NFL Draft. When he went to Minnesota with the 2nd pick of the 9th round, there was a negative stigma that went with him. The majority of the population were low on Cook’s ability to be an impactful NFL running back. I can see the reason why, Cook had an awful combine and had a few off-field concerns weighing on people’s minds. The Viking’s also signed Latavius Murray to the roster and he was looking like the one who would receive the early down work, as well as getting the goal line carries. This all but diminished Dalvin Cook’s fantasy value as a top prospect for rostering.

The doubts are justified, but I continue to shovel “belief coal” into the hype train of Cook.
Anyone who watched Cook at Florida State knows what he is capable of doing in a football game. He is an extremely gifted runner and has a knack for making HUGE plays all over the field. At times he struggled with ball security, but that was overshadowed by his 5,399 scrimmage yards and 48 touchdowns in 3 seasons with the Seminoles. Since camp has started, Dalvin Cook’s reviews have been exactly what I thought they would be; Electric. He has been dazzling the Minnesota coaches in the backfield, and in the passing game. This, coupled with Latavius Murray not even being on the field due to an ankle injury, has set Cook up with an amazing opportunity to seize the starting role by the start of the regular season. If Dalvin Cook is taking workhorse snaps with the Minnesota Offense, I expect him to have huge year. Yes I can see how the back of the 4th round, top of the 5th round seems pretty pricey for a rookie in Minnesota. However, if he is the starting back he could be a league winner for you; I say BUY COOK.

Falling Stocks with Rising Value

Coming into 2017 fans and fantasy goers were very high on Derrick Henry having a bigger season in Tennessee. He was being drafted as high as 5.08 in drafts back in March. The 5th round was way too high for me on a guy who is backing up Demarco Murray. I think as time went on, and the narratives changing to Murray still being “the guy”, caused the fall of his draft price back to Earth. Last month he fell to the mid 6th round and has continued to fall into the late 7th and early 8th rounds; becoming quite the value prospect.

Derrick Henry is a huge back and a very talented football player. He showed his ability in 2016, capitalizing on most of his chances in the Red Zone and passing game. In training camp this year he has looked on top of his game, especially down field in the receiving department. The problem is…so has Demarco Murray, who is still the favorite to be the lead back for the Titans. Murray did suffer a hamstring injury in camp and is currently day-to-day, but will most likely be ready to go for the regular season. It isn’t much, but it is a small opportunity for Henry to make a run at the starting job while Murray is off the field; which could be done. Since Murray hurt his hammy I have been hearing a call for Henry to get more involved this season. The stock market always fluctuates, and so do es a player’s draft value. Derrick Henry’s price is primed to go back up given the current situation in the Titan’s backfield. He is a value buy 7.10, and if you are itching to add a sleeper, scoop Henry up just in case Murray has to miss some time.

When Alshon Jeffery has played full 16 game seasons, he has been able to produce with the best of them. In 2013-14 he played back-to-back 16 game seasons amassing 2,554 yards and 17 touchdowns. So we know that he can get it done when he is on the field. The pitfall on drafting Jeffery in Fantasy Football is his health. In his 5 seasons with the Chicago Bears, Alshon only played 16 games twice. So when you use an early draft pick on him, you run the risk of missing out on a more consistent impact player for your Fantasy Football roster.

For the 2017 season, Alshon Jeffery will be suiting up for the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles are a team on the rise, and they have been slowly compiling the pieces needed to make a run at the post season. Their young quarterback Carson Wentz showed a lot of promise in his rookie season, but still has a long way to go to prove himself. He will get a lot of help this season with an offensive line that is ranked #1in the NFL by Pro Football Focus, and bully running back LeGarrette Blount in the backfield. Blount is a back that needs to be respected by defenses and could open up space for Wentz to find the 6’ 3” Jeffery over the top; as long as he can stay on the field to be utilized. Jeffery was having some shoulder issues in camp so far this preseason, which is why his price was dropping. Now that he is getting back to 100% as the regular season approaches, his price will climb back up the draft board. If you already have your stud WR, grabbing Alshon while he is low isn’t the worst choice. If his upside hits, you have a potential WR1 on your hands.

Follow me on Twitter at @AaroneousSports and visit my website at www.AaroneousSports.com.

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