We decided to make our site nerdier by acquiring a Pro Football Focus Elite account (H/T JimboSlice’s black card), and it’s safe to say it’s life changing. We are slowly becoming millionaires on DraftKings because of it, and our big brains are getting even bigger.
Here are some of the key stats that we uncovered on Pro Football Focus this week, and if you want more stats like this, you should buy yourself a subscription. It’s worth every penny.
1. Hunter Henry will be the star of the Chargers-Browns matchup… not Josh Gordon
Hunter Henry is coming off his best fantasy game of the season after posting two touchdowns on five receptions (16.1 fantasy points) on Thanksgiving, and now he’s about to light up the hapless Browns. We all know the Browns stink, but they especially stink at covering the tight end. They’ve allowed a touchdown to a tight end in four consecutive games and multiple receiving touchdowns in three of the past four games. PFF’s third worst graded safety, Derrick Kindred, will attempt to cover Henry most of the afternoon.
2. Davante Adams will continue to be the apple of Brett Hundley’s eye
Over the last three weeks, Davante Adams has been Brett Hundley‘s go-to target, totaling 298 yards and two touchdowns on 18 receptions. Priced at $6,500 on DraftKings, Adams is going to get to feast on Bucs’ corner Robert McClain, who has allowed 77 percent of his targets to be caught this season. Hundley-Adams stack? Hmm…
3. Marvin Jones is involved in a prize fight every week
The great Scott Barrett of Pro Football Focus uncovered this nugget, “Marvin Jones has had the fourth-toughest cornerback schedule this season, with 32.9 percent of his targets coming against top-30-graded cornerbacks. Only Antonio Brown (39.3 percent), A.J. Green (41.7 percent), and, randomly, Ricardo Louis (43.1 percent) rank higher. In spite of this, Jones ranks fourth among all wide receivers in fantasy points in standard leagues.”
Marvin Jones Jr. opened the Rhodes last week, racking up 92 yards and two touchdowns on five receptions, while being covered by Xavier Rhodes on 84.2 percent of his routes. Things won’t get easier this week when the Lions travel to Baltimore to face the Ravens’ No. 4 ranked secondary with Jimmy Smith and Marlon Humphrey manning the outside. Both are top-30 corners in PFF’s grades and only surrender 15.1 points per game to outside receivers. Even with the negative matchup, keep this horse in your starting lineup.
4. Michael Thomas has the best matchup of Week 13
Michael Thomas has converted 18 career targets vs. the Panthers into a combined 17/233/2 line in 3 games. Could see a limited secondary Sunday w/Daryl Worley questionable with a foot injury.
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) November 29, 2017
Drew Brees’ No. 1 receiver has the most favorable matchup this week against the Panthers’ James Bradberry, who typically lines up on the left side of the defense. Michael Thomas has taken a backseat to both Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara, which is very un-Saints-like, but I always like the passing attack in the dome. Our friend of the program, Ian Hartitz of Fantasy Labs pointed out that Thomas has owned the Panthers, recording 233 yards and two touchdowns on 17 receptions in his three games against Carolina. Seems like a #nice steal at $6,900.
5. Mohamed Sanu should be started in all leagues… at quarterback
After Mohamed Sanu tossed a BEAUTIFUL 51-yard touchdown toss to Julio Jones, he is now the most efficient passer in NFL history! On six career passes, he’s 6-6 for 228 yards and three touchdowns. Sanu might be better than at least 10 of the Week 13 starting quarterbacks. No, I’m serious.
