We switched things up a bit, with our boy Keegs handling Thursday Night Football No House Advantage Pick ‘Em and best bets duty. He went 3-1 on the night, which was much better than my disastrous Week 3 main slate. Still, I am 16-12 overall based on my previous picks and TNF’s posted picks on Instagram — so, follow us there for additional picks.
Anyway, that’s enough about me.
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CHRIS OLAVE OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS
Chris Olave is on an absolute tear and it will continue this week across the pond. Michael Thomas is out of the lineup and Jarvis Landry is banged up, leaving Olave as the only healthy starting receiver. Sure, Jameis Winston is out, but the Red Riffle is more than capable to execute a game plan. Wake up to Olave dusting old man Patrick Peterson and Cam Dantzler all over the Tottenham pitch. Put this lad in your Pick ‘Em.
JOSH ALLEN 294.5 PASSING YARDS
I’m typically not one to play a passing yard total, but I can’t pass this one up. Josh Allen is coming off a 400-yard passing day against the stingy Dolphins’ defense and he gets a Ravens’ secondary that ranks last in the league in basically every category. The Bills are going to go into this game pissed off after outgaining the Dolphins by 283 yards. This is a 300-yard layup if I’ve ever seen one.
TREVOR LAWRENCE OVER 1.5 PASSING TD
I’m day one Trevor Lawrence and Jaguars (Doug Pederson) truther. If you don’t believe me, I don’t care. We’re going to see Pederson in a massive #revengegame against his former team and Lawrence is going to sling the ball all over the yard. The Eagles are the flavor of the early season, and rightfully so. But, did people forget they allowed 35 points to the Lions just three weeks ago? Since then, they handled Carson Wentz (wee!) and Kirk Cousins in Primetime (again, wee!). Let’s pump the brakes on their defense and watch these two teams shoot it out in Philly.
MIKE WILLIAMS OVER 64.5 RECEIVING YARDS
Mike Williams is the most infuriating receiver in fantasy. One week he sucks and the next week he looks like a top-five wideout. Plus, the blowouts are so dominant that his managers can never bench him. He’s coming off a hideous one reception week, but in Week 2 he put up 8-113-1 on the Chiefs. Now with Justin Herbert off the injury report and seemingly healthier, we’re going to see good Mike Williams against the Texans. Pencil him in for over 100 yards.
AUSTIN EKELER OVER 51.5 RUSHING YARDS
I feel like the biggest square picking the over here. The guys at NHA are begging for its users to play the over here… and I’m going to do just that. Austin Ekeler has been a massive disappointment thus far, but I see him turning it around against the lowly Texans’ rush defense, which is the equivalent of the Ravens’ passing defense. It sucks. They’re 32nd in rushing yards allowed and rush attempts allowed. They also just let Khalil Herbert throttle them for 157 yards on the ground. It’s Ekeler week, finally!
COOPER RUSH OVER 1.5 PASSING TD
There are a ton of players to choose from in this slate and I’m rolling with Cooper Rush as one of my favorites. Why is that, you ask? It’s simple. Rush has completed over 60% of his passes and has thrown a touchdown in each of his two starts.
More importantly, he gets two key playmakers back into the lineup in Michael Gallup and Dalton Schultz. Gallup will likely be on a snap count, but he’s still a vertical burner and could take a deep ball to the house against this Washington defense. Schultz is also banged up but he’s a very solid red zone option that should boost Rush’s chances of throwing a touchdown. Pass-catching weaponry featuring the likes of CeeDee Lamb, Tony Pollard, Noah Brown, Gallup, and Schultz should do work against the Commanders’ useless secondary.
Others to add to your Pick ‘Em: Dalvin Cook over 66.5 rushing yards; Jonathan Taylor over 100.5 rushing yards; Justin Fields under 1.5 touchdown passes; Amari Cooper over 66.5 receiving yards; Rashaad Penny over 62.5 rushing yards; Stefon Diggs over 7.5 receptions
