Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart Week 3: Running Backs

fantasy football trade value chart
Championships are won with trades.

RSJ’s Jackson Barrett created a value-based drafting Excel tool to create the preseason values for this Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart. The tool uses the FantasyPros consensus projections to assign values based on a 12-team, full PPR league.

Each week throughout the season, these values will be altered to reflect the player’s value for the rest of the season. Changes made to player’s value will be based on FantasyPros Rest of Season ECR, results from the season thus far, and The Wolf’s Rest of Season Rankings. But for the most part, the below values should generally reflect consensus rankings. The values provided also allow for comparing player values across positions, not just within one positional group.

For more information on how to make successful deals, check out our strategies for negotiating trades.

Be sure to tune back each week throughout the season. We’ll be adjusting the chart, discussing risers & fallers, and pinpointing trade targets.

The trade value chart for each position is linked below.

Fantasy Football Week 2 Trade Value Chart: Running Backs

Running Back Riser

Alvin Kamara has strung together two incredibly productive weeks, highlighted by a four-touchdown, 44-point performance in Week 2. Two things are working in Kamara’s favor so far this season.

First, everything about this offense has been incredible. Klint Kubiak is seemingly just experimenting with the talent he has on hand and is trying to find favorable matchups and situations. It’s working, to say the least. Here are some rankings surrounding New Orleans’ offense:

  • 1st in yards per play
  • 1st in points per game
  • 1st in EPA per play
  • 2nd in EPA per dropback
  • 2nd in EPA per rush
  • 1st in play action rate
  • 3rd in motion rate (at the snap)
  • 32nd in usage of formations with 3+ WRs

Running backs in an offense of this quality tend to thrive, regardless of talent. Speaking of talent, a vast majority of the fantasy community was convinced that Kamara was washed. Kamara has proved them all wrong.

Through two games, Kamara has an 8.8 percent explosive rush rate and has averaged 0.81 rush yards over expected per attempt. He looks like the exciting, dynamic Kamara of old in Kubiak’s system. If this all holds up, Kamara can finish as an elite running back once again.

Running Back Faller

Kyren Williams is a significant faller this week and it comes at no fault of his own. Simply put, the Rams’ offense is in complete shambles. Puka Nacua is on IR, Cooper Kupp is set to miss “extended time”, and multiple starting offensive linemen are currently injured. It’s been two weeks and this offense is already a shell of its former self.

This was fairly evident last week when Los Angeles struggled to move the ball against a weak Arizona defense. The Rams’ offense mustered just 10 points and Williams’ day was salvaged by a short touchdown when the game was well out of reach.

If last week was a sign of what’s to come for this offense, things are about to get really scary, really fast for Williams’ fantasy production. He will still hold value thanks to his bell cow role, but Williams could very easily continue to slide down this list in the coming weeks.

Running Back Trade Target

If you haven’t caught a Commanders game just yet, it’s pretty obvious that this offense is going to live and die by their rushing attack. Thus far, it’s allowed them to eke out a victory against the Giants. Jayden Daniels will have to develop as a passer if this team wants to see sustained success, but the foundation for a dominant running game is there.

With the ground game operating at a high level, it would only make sense for Washington’s running back to be playing well. Brian Robinson Jr. is the RB14 through two weeks and has the peripheral metrics to back it up. Robinson currently ranks:

  • 3rd in rush yards over expectation per attempt
  • 4th in yards after contact per attempt
  • 5th in explosive rush rate
  • 10th in missed tackles forced per attempt

If someone thinks they’re “selling high on Robinson” and is willing to accept a reasonable offer, take the offer and run with it.

Tier 1: The Elites

Tier 2: RB1s

Tier 3: RB2s

Tier 4: Matchup-Based Starters

Tier 5: Bench Assets and Handcuffs

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