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Wolf's Big Board:     Tuesday, May 30, 2017     Tier One - The Big Three   1 ) David Johnson (ARI) RB1   2 ) Le'Veon Bell (PIT) RB2   3 ) Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) RB3   Tier Two - High-end WR1 and RB1s   4 ) Antonio Brown (PIT) WR1   5 ) Julio Jones (ATL) WR2   6 ) Mike Evans (TB) WR3   7 ) Odell Beckham JR. (NYG) WR4   8 ) DeMarco Murray (TEN) RB4   9 ) Melvin Gordon (LAC) RB5   10 ) LeSean McCoy (BUF) RB6   11 ) Jay Ajayi (MIA) RB7   12 ) AJ Green (CIN) WR5   13 ) Jordy Nelson (GB) WR6   14 ) Michael Thomas (NO) WR7   15 ) Dez Bryant (DAL) WR8   16 ) Devonta Freeman (ATL) RB8   Tier 3 - Lower-end RB1 and WR1s, elite second options   17 ) Lamar Miller (HOU) RB9   18 ) DeAndre Hopkins (HOU) WR9   19 ) TY Hilton (IND) WR10   20 ) Leonard Fournette (JAX) RB10   21 ) Rob Gronkowski (NE) TE1   22 ) Brandin Cooks (NE) WR11   23 ) Demaryius Thomas. (DEN) WR12   24 ) Jordan Reed (WAS) TE2   25 ) Doug Baldwin (SEA) WR13   26 ) Amari Cooper (OAK) WR14   Tier 3.5   27 ) Todd Gurley (LAR) RB11   28 ) Carlos Hyde (SF) RB12   29 ) Christian McCaffrey (CAR) RB13   30 ) Jordan Howard (CHI) RB14   31 ) Marshawn Lynch (OAK) RB15   32 ) Davante Adams (GB) WR15   33 ) Alshon Jeffery (PHI) WR16   34 ) Isaiah Crowell (CLE) RB16   35 ) Tyreek Hill (KC) WR17   36 ) Keenan Allen (LAC) WR18   37 ) Spencer Ware (KC) RB17   Tier 4 - Elite QBs, Solid #2 RBs + WRs, side TE1s   38 ) Bilal Powell (NYJ) RB18   39 ) Tom Brady (NE) QB1   40 ) Sammy Watkins WR19   41 ) Aaron Rodgers (GB) QB2   42 ) Travis Kielce (KC) TE3   43 ) Terrelle Pryor (WAS) WR20   44 ) Allen Robinson (JAC) WR21   44 ) Mike Gillislee (NE) RB19   45 ) Mark Ingram (NO) RB20   46 ) Golden Tate (DET) WR22   47 ) Jamison Crowder (WAS) WR23   48 ) Greg Olsen (CAR) TE4   48 ) Tevin Coleman (ATL) RB21   49 ) Willie Snead (NO) WR24   50 ) Doug Martin (TB) RB22   51 ) Michael Crabtree (OAK) WR25   52 ) Brandon Marshal (NYG) WR26   53 ) Julian Edelman (NE) WR27   54 ) Donte Moncrief (IND) WR28   55 ) Drew Brees (NO) QB3   56 ) Ameer Abdullah (DET) RB23   57 ) Jimmy Graham (SEA) TE5   58 ) Tyler Eifert (CIN) TE6   59 ) Martavis Bryant (PIT) WR29   Tier 5 - Last Startable WRs and RBs + TE1 Candidates   60 ) Pierre Garcon (SF) WR30   61 ) Eric Decker (NYJ) WR31   62 ) Jarvis Landry (MIA) WR32   63 ) Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) WR33   64 ) Samaje Perine (WAS) RB24   65 ) Joe Mixon (CIN) RB25   66 ) CJ Anderson (DEN) RB26   67 ) Matt Ryan (ATL) QB4   68 ) Stefon Diggs (MIN) WR33   69 ) Emmanuel Sanders (DEN) WR34   70 ) Ty Montgomery (GB) RB27   71 ) Hunter Henry (LAC) TE7   72 ) Corey Davis (TEN) WR35   73 ) Adrian Peterson (NO) RB28   74 ) Kelvin Benjamin (CAR) WR36   75 ) Delanie Walker TE8   76 ) Paul Perkins (NYG) RB29   77 ) CJ Prosise (SEA) RB30   78 ) Eddie Lacy (SEA) RB31   79 ) Dalvin Cook (MIN) RB32   80 ) Theo Riddick (DET) RB33   81 ) Frank Gore (IND) RB34   82 ) Cameron Meredith (CHI) WR38   83 ) Mike Wallace (BAL) WR39   84 ) DeSean Jackson (TB) WR40   85 ) Martellus Bennett (GB) TE9   TIer 7 - side QB1s and Top WR and RB Lottery Tickets   86 ) Andrew Luck (IND) QB5   87 ) Derek Carr (OAK) QB6   88 ) Kirk Cousins (WAS) QB7   89 ) Marcus Mariota (TEN) QB8   90 ) Philip Rivers (LAC) QB9   91 ) Ben Roethlisberger QB10   92 ) Dak Prescott (DAL) QB11   93 ) Jameis Winston (TB) QB12   94 ) Joe Williams (SF) RB35   95 ) Derrick Henry (TEN) RB36   96 ) Kareem Hunt (KC) RB37   97 ) Jamaal Williams (GB) RB38   98 ) Davante Parker (MIA) WR41   99 ) Josh Doctson (WAS) WR42   100 ) Ted Ginn (NO) WR43  
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NFL Picks and Predictions for Week 15

Back by popular demand, it’s my NFL picks for Week 15. My beginner’s luck wore off last week and I ended up with a 2-3-1 showing on the weekend after the Patriots push, putting me at 8-3-1 in my young Roto Street Journal career. Not perfect, but definitely better than Jeff Fisher.

I was pretty frustrated at Belichick not sending Gostkowski out there at the end of Monday’s game to go up 10 and cover, but definitely not as frustrated as this guy.

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Now I’ve been known to throw out some ridiculous parlays in my day, and a handful have worked out, but none like that. That dude would laugh at my $109 5-team NHL parlay. Actually, come to think of it, he’s probably not doing a lot of laughing anytime soon. #InBillWeTrust.

Anyway, we’ve got another great weekend of games ahead of us, so let’s dive right in.

Obligatory Pats Spread

New England Patriots (-6) at Denver Broncos

After the aforementioned 7 point win against Baltimore in Week 14, a game in which the Pats put up almost 500 yards of total offense against the 4th best defense in the NFL, they’ll now travel to Denver to take on the 8-5 Broncos, who are coming off a 13-10 loss at the hands of the Tennessee Titans. In Trevor Siemian’s return after missing 1 game with an ankle injury, it took Denver almost 3 and a half quarters to even get on the scoreboard. The Titans were nice enough to only put up 13 points in the contest, keeping it a lot closer than it should’ve been, but don’t expect Tom Brady and the Patriots to be as polite. This is a top-5 offense averaging close to 27 points per game, and the only way Denver can stay in this game is by dominating defensively; which, luckily for them, is their specialty. NFL sack leader Von Miller and the rest of Denver’s sturdy defensive unit will have to get constant pressure on Brady to keep this contest close, a task that’s looking increasingly more difficult as New England’s young offensive line continues to come into it’s own late in this season. The Pats are currently 3-point favorites, mainly because the game’s in Denver, but it doesn’t scare me much.

Pats by a touchdown. 

Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-15.5)

It’s rare you see an NFL line that’s this lopsided, but this is a real special situation going on in Los Angeles right now. Jeff Fisher, just a few weeks after signing a 2-year extension, was fired after the team’s 4-7 start, leaving him with a 178-171-1 lifetime coaching record. Fun fact: Bill Belichick could go 0-16 for six straight seasons and have a better lifetime winning percentage than Jeff Fisher. Anyway, although Seattle hasn’t been the epitome of dominance that they once were, the defense has been hit with the injury bug, and they’re coming off a 38-10 beatdown at the hands of the Green Bay Packers, the Seahawks deserve their heavy favorite status in this one. They’ve won 4 out of their last 6, and anyone should be afraid of a defense that employs Richard Sherman, Bobby Wagner, and KJ Wright, especially an unseasoned rookie like Jared Goff. They return to CenturyLink Field, arguably the best home-field advantage in football, and they’ll be looking to emphatically right the ship after last week’s beatdown.

It may be the eggnog talking, but the line doesn’t scare me: Seahawks cover. 

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) at Cincinnati Bengals

As far as divisional rivalries go, the Steelers/Bengals one is up there at the top. The games are always close (3 out of the last 4 have been decided by 8 points or less), they’re always chippy, and the personalities always come out to play. One week after telling us exactly what he thinks about Terrelle Pryor, Pacman Jones will team up with the Draymond Green of the NFL, Vontaze Burfict, and Cincy’s defensive unit that is tasked with stopping Pittsburgh’s Killer B’s. Ben Roethlisburger is 12th in the league in QBR, ahead of guys named Smith, Wilson, and Carr, and Le’Veon Bell has been arguably the best back in the league since his return from suspension in Week 4. Add in Antonio Brown and a top 10 defense and it’s hard to feel good about 5-7-1 Cincinnati. It does make me nervous that these games are typically close, but Pittsburgh has also won 11 of the last 14 matchups dating back to 2010, and although AJ Green practiced this week he still could be a non-factor returning from that knee injury.

The Steelers cover here. 

New Orleans Saints (+2.5) at Arizona Cardinals

If you told me in August that come December I’d be taking the Saints to cover a 2 and a half point spread against the Cardinals on the road, I’d have assumed Carson Palmer and David Johnson were resting for the playoffs. Instead, Arizona is 5-7-1 and holding out hope for a possible Wild Card spot in the NFC. The Saints haven’t been any better, sitting at 5-8 entering this week, but new weapons like Michael Thomas are emerging in the offense and Drew Brees will definitely be looking to bounce back after consecutive 3-INT, 0 TD weeks. Lines will change sometimes as the game gets closer, and if this one goes above +3 for the Saints I may change my mind (I guess you’ll have to follow me on Twitter to find out), but as of now it looks good.

Expect a Saints cover.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys (-7)

Lot going on here. The Tampa Bay Bucs have quietly won 5 in a row, and Jameis Winston has now thrown as many touchdown passes as Eli Manning and Kirk Cousins. Dallas, meanwhile, is coming off a rough game last week in New York, an ugly 10-7 loss in which Dak Prescott threw for just 165 yards and the Cowboys turned the ball over 3 times, including a late fumble by Dez Bryant that sealed the game for the G Men. This game was originally scheduled for late afternoon but was flexed to primetime because of the matchup, a matchup I wouldn’t be shocked to see again when the NFC Divisional Playoffs roll around. Regardless of where the two teams seem to be trending, you’ve gotta think Dak and the Cowboys get it together at home this week. The 11 game win streak is over, pressure’s off, and now the goal is to play solid football and lock down that division. Tampa Bay has looked strong as of late, but if Dallas plays their game they should have their way with the Bucs’ 21st ranked run defense.

Dallas covers. 

Carolina Panthers at Washington Redskins (-6)

And finally, on Monday night the reigning MVP Cam Newton and the Panthers will travel to DC to take on the Redskins. Both teams enter Week 15 coming off unimpressive wins over mediocre teams, after Washington took down the Eagles 27-22 and Carolina knocked off the Chargers by a score of 28-16. On the Skins side, Kirk Cousins has had a strong second half thus far, having thrown for 11 TDs and just 2 INTs since the team’s week 9 bye, and Desean Jackson has a recieving TD in 3 of the last 4 games. Carolina, meanwhile, has lost 3 of 5 and is giving up almost 26 points a game, good for 26th in the NFL. Newton has struggled to return to MVP form, and he’s now 21st in the NFL with a QBR just under 60. Factor in that Washington has the 2nd most yards in the NFL, and this one’s pretty easy.

Skins by at least a TD.

And there we have it. Best of luck to all, and hopefully these’ll help you fund your Christmas/New Year’s escapades.

Dad Joke of the Week

Why did the scarecrow win an award?

He was outstanding in his field.

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